Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.752791 4.488057 5.308526 6.288899 7.425262 8.697664 10.226801
2025-06-29 2.644050 3.566151 4.703943 6.198672 8.096607 10.410913 13.429335
2025-07-06 1.978463 2.957148 4.271410 6.137954 8.688115 12.013334 16.632673
2025-07-13 1.666125 2.714755 4.225329 6.511142 9.822204 14.372770 21.010283
2025-07-20 1.395103 2.459567 4.093267 6.708652 10.695859 16.429899 25.148307
2025-07-27 1.216931 2.302683 4.065513 7.030233 11.753963 18.815022 29.934037
2025-08-03 1.015608 2.061673 3.856742 7.023665 12.287640 20.450082 33.733614
2025-08-10 0.816479 1.780042 3.528127 6.762048 12.364868 21.367020 36.487874
2025-08-17 0.662332 1.547942 3.243145 6.524155 12.434594 22.250550 39.227092
2025-08-24 0.565976 1.409446 3.104221 6.519503 12.887556 23.774538 43.087627
2025-08-31 0.488642 1.293934 2.988980 6.538014 13.373009 25.377840 47.179822
2025-09-07 0.418037 1.177424 2.851532 6.491310 13.725808 26.768519 50.996328
2025-09-14 0.335122 1.013769 2.591333 6.170783 13.541744 27.222257 53.277056
2025-09-21 0.286154 0.923093 2.475262 6.131959 13.897997 28.678527 57.438496
2025-09-28 0.244597 0.841276 2.364719 6.088016 14.235423 30.120952 61.671162
2025-10-05 0.231639 0.837067 2.438886 6.464110 15.472194 33.355425 69.418132
2025-10-12 0.210806 0.804207 2.436222 6.662230 16.349936 35.955500 76.135175
2025-10-19 0.197547 0.791579 2.483237 6.982490 17.518768 39.205723 84.285370
2025-10-26 0.172541 0.733772 2.400283 6.976168 17.965410 41.039593 89.805406
2025-11-02 0.142340 0.648593 2.225783 6.716176 17.811028 41.632611 92.918401
2025-11-09 0.117771 0.575186 2.069864 6.479728 17.681937 42.259750 96.126225
2025-11-16 0.103199 0.535114 2.005157 6.475111 18.097397 44.061221 101.815200
2025-11-23 0.091067 0.500795 1.951679 6.493513 18.568898 46.012640 107.923090